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Messages - changemyoil66

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1
The 9th Circuit declined to hear this lawsuit in the full judge panel (En Banc).  So the ruling the 3 judge panel made is now in effect.

This means the only place you can carry besides the sidewalk is in a bank.  The default ban on private property open to the public is in effect, so is the ban in restaurants that serve booze, parks and beaches.

Alan and Kevin filed a motion to dispute the above, but it's a long shot.  Next is to see if SCOTUS will take the case due to this going against what another circuit ruled.  This will cause additional cost to file to SCOTUS.

Donate what ever you can spare in the link below:

https://www.givesendgo.com/GAXTH?utm_source=sharelink&utm_medium=copy_link&utm_campaign=GAXTH&fbclid=IwY2xjawH1EVhleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHWtUXhLSxS8XcYaQIMhngSydi9NZVsAsRob3AOMJ8BiiBZV_3TOEMBbhVw_aem_IH6GVyDhoWhgqB3aTTeXsQ
2
Off Topic / Re: What happened to the Vegas I used to know.....smh
« on: January 14, 2025, 03:40:55 PM »
i remember the first time playing 3 card poker at The Cal.  i was head-to-head with the dealer, and she kept beating my hand no matter what i had.  This dude walked up and sat to my left.  He won every hand he played and left when I left.  After an hour having an early breakfast, it hit me.  He was watching the flow of the cards for awhile.  When he saw the dealer making very good hands, he started taking her cards.  When I left, he figured he'd be getting my crappy hands and left, too.

That's what I try to do now.  Any poker game, I see if the dealer is getting hands.  If not, i avoid jumping in and causing them to get better cards.  if so, i try to get third base so i can take those good cards.

Live and learn.

Gotta be aware that some casinos, the dealer gets their cards first for poker type games.  Cause I used to play 2 hands to change the vibe if I saw the dealer always wnning too.  Then I noticed what I stated. But what I do try to do is sit in #1 position so people coming in don't affect my cards. I began doing this when playing UTH at Resorts World. A lady sat to my right and she was getting full houses very often.   
3
Political Discussion / Re: Masie Hirono steps up----again
« on: January 14, 2025, 03:02:02 PM »
I find it hypocritical for the Dems in Congress to demand promises from GOP nominees for anything they might do years in the future.

When faced with an obvious conflict of interest over the money taken in by the Clinton Foundation from foreign entities -- governments and individuals -- Hillary promised as Secretary of State her foundation would not accept any foreign-sourced donations.

She broke that promise more than once while she was Secretary, but nothing was ever done about it.  The foundation admitted after they were called out to breaking the rules at least once -- not asking the ethics watchdogs permission before accepting $500K from a new donor.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/foreign-governments-gave-millions-to-foundation-while-clinton-was-at-state-dept/2015/02/25/31937c1e-bc3f-11e4-8668-4e7ba8439ca6_story.html

Add in no matter what he says, there is no way Pochanatas or Crazy Maizie will support him.
4
Off Topic / Re: What happened to the Vegas I used to know.....smh
« on: January 14, 2025, 02:47:59 PM »


This sheet shows the house edge is 0% for odds bets on the pass line and come bets.  if memory serves, that's a rounded number.  The real number i remember seeing was a very small fraction.

https://www.controlledcraps.com/craps-payouts-odds-chart/

It's less than 1% is what is the common saying.  IIRC it's like 0.41%.
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Political Discussion / Re: Masie Hirono steps up----again
« on: January 14, 2025, 02:45:46 PM »
if that's a direct quote, she's intentionally using "the private sector" as a gotcha.  Every job that's not government is in the private sector. 

What Pete said was "...  implement a 10-year ban on generals working for defense contractors after retiring from the military."

He specifically said defense contractors, not the private sector.  He also said "10-year ban," so that the programs and contacts the generals cultivate on active duty would have had time to evolve or dissipate prior to the retirees being able to benefit from them in their new career.

Conflicts of interest do exist, and i would expect a SECDEF to abide by the same 10-year ban.  As a former SECDEF, I'm sure Fox will be glad to give him is old job back!!

I believe even though she said private sector, she meant to what you referred to.  Hegseth also said that he never thought about it and she was asking him for his "promise" now.

Since Trump will be in charge, I can see that if Hegseth doesn't do a good job, he gets fired.  Or like how Trump ran his businesses, people are brought in to fix 1 thing, then they resign after it's done.  See Gen Mattis story. So it would be unfare if Hegseth was in the job for 6 months and then resigned.  Plus add in that he's much younger and cannot retire as easily as say a general can who gets $1 million a year for life.
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General Discussion / Re: CCW Insurance
« on: January 14, 2025, 02:42:24 PM »
AOR also had a follow up email sent to me about not meeting step 1 (of 3 steps) for a civil suit. Like I am not being charged or think I will be charged. Which has to be met for the criminal defense to kick in.  With regard to a civil suit, you are still covered defense wise, even though #1 wasn't fulfilled.
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SRO places last on the tacticool factor.
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Political Discussion / Re: Masie Hirono steps up----again
« on: January 14, 2025, 01:13:58 PM »
Pochahantas asked something:

"Since you stated no retired general should work in the private sector for 10 years, will you do the same?"

It's not like he is spending 20 years in this position, compared to a general who worked their way thru the ranks.  At best, 4 years (trumps term) and he's probably done.  This would cause him at such a young age to not be able to work anywhere else and be called a liar by the fake news.  I'm glad his response was "I'm not a general" and everyone laughed.
9
When the government and the media repeat the "34 felonies" in every story but almost never include the underlying felony he was never convicted of, it's for a purpose.  Anyone with a brain would ask, "Why not convict on that one felony instead of manufacturing 34 more felonies that should have been misdemeanors?"

They wanted this prosecution to become a barrier to Trump winning the election.  If you want an example of actual election interference, which was the supposed never-tried underlying felony, this case is a perfect example.  It would be perfect if the DOJ convicted Bragg of election interference.

The fact you know campaign finance violations are usually punished with a fine (plus giving back any illegal donations) is important.  What makes this case different?  Why did Trump get tried on 34 felony counts based on one count of election interference for PAYING someone to be quiet -- the exact opposite of what most campaign finance violations entail, i.e. receiving money?

It would not be difficult for Trump to perform 30 hours of community service.  in fact, he would love being out with people cleaning up a park, serving the needy in a soup kitchen or visiting the very ill in a hospital or hospice.  Probation is a problem because he has to be able to travel.  Same problem with having an ankle bracelet.  He could have also been fined a few million to pay back a portion of the money NYC wasted trying to keep him from winning the race.

There's also something called deferred sentencing.  He could have been sentenced to 2 years probation deferred for 6 months (or some other probationary period). After 6 months of probation, if he's not brought up on any more charges in that jurisdiction, the sentence is replaced with a dismissal of any conviction or plea deal, so as to not have a conviction on his record.https://www.mylawquestions.com/what-is-a-deferred-sentence.htm

By choosing unconditional discharge, they are basically saying, "Game's over.  We quit."  They keep his felony convictions on his criminal record so they can use them against him in the future.  Hopefully the next president has the good sense to grant him a full pardon for these charges that never should have been filed against him, much less convicted and sentenced.

Who in the history if the US is convicted of 34 felonies in one trial and not sentenced to any punishment at all?  Felonies are pretty serious charges.  If they were really conerned about it impacting his ability to perform his presidential duties, they would have dismissed the entire thing with prejudice.  Jury verdicts get set aside all the time.  But when the DA and judge are going after a political target, they can't see the damage they are doing.  They only see the chance to bag a big trophy.

U stating facts. It's like someone here who claims to use logic, cannot make this same determination.
10

I am not saying you are wrong here, I am trying to understand what you meant by saying "should have been made just as public as the 34 felonies". It sounded like you are saying something was kept secret. I don't know what you are saying did not get brought forward about the federal campaign finance law part. 


As for AOC and other people who commit campaign finance violations, IIRC people are almost never convicted for violating those laws, just fined because the rules are so complex that they are violated all the time, intentionally or unintentionally.


As for your statement that the sentence proves he did nothing wrong, that is not what it means. The ruling is a practical one, made so as not to disrupt the function of the presidency. Can you imagine trying to have the president on probation?



SWOOOOOSSSHHHHHHH
11
Political Discussion / Re: What are you folks grumbling about?
« on: January 14, 2025, 12:12:58 PM »
I remember reading that the reason the flood protection is often a national program is because the private insurance companies were refusing to sell it to customers in high risk areas so the feds took over. Problem is now all the houses that get flooded in the high risk areas end up costing the government (aka taxpayers) a lot of money because the government doesn't set the premiums high enough to cover the actual cost when a disaster strikes.

That and they weren't able to increase the premiums to keep the carriers in business. So same like State Farm in CA, but different cause of loss.

The national flood program also has a cap. Which might work in cheaper cost of living states, but not in Hawaii if there's a total loss.  Another thing the government can mess up.
12
I said why I thought he was a dirtbag and you argued with me. #projecting

Feel free to go read the bill he killed and tell me why he was correct in killing it. Feel free to go show me the good reason for voting against the bill despite large bipartisan support for it. Before you do though I will point out to you that he never provided any reason for killing the bill or voting against it the next year. If there was a good reason to vote against it you would think he would justify his decision...

He's back again. Hahahahahahahha

I'm a future teller. He will be back in this thread again.
13
You are under the false impression that me taking a break somehow means you actually won the debate. That would explain why you are so upset over me "reviving a dead thread"


Annnddd he's back to revive a moot thread.
14
Political Discussion / Re: Future conflict with Panama under Trump?
« on: January 14, 2025, 12:09:06 PM »
"....who is really controlling"
Nope, not going to do the homework of proving your conspiracy theory.

But, for the sake of argument, lets say someone like China was controlling the Panama Canal with the permission of Panama. So what? Does that somehow justify a military invasion of a sovereign nation because they decided to give China some control over their Canal? Are we justified in killing them if they tell us to pound sand and sail around Cape Horn? Panama isn't obligated to let us use their canal at this point. Attacking a country because they attacked us/an ally or because there is a genocide is one thing, attacking them because they don't want to share their natural resource? Not a good justification.

I didn't say Panama was part of NATO genius, Greenland is under Denmark which is a NATO country.

"Trump would risk starting a huge war invading a Nato country" you didn't specify between Panama or Greenland genius. 

Wow, you left out some details for your example about China telling us to pound sand. What if they loaded the canal with Russian and Chinese nukes?  How come you left out this possibility? Is your whataboutism failing?
15
Political Discussion / Re: immadoctor prioritized CA over HI
« on: January 14, 2025, 11:39:37 AM »
I heard on the radio someone (I think whoever was advocating for this "program") mention to the effect that CA is very similar to HI.  Where he'd trust CA would extend same support if/when Hawaii was in need. .  GFTO. . .

That said, it's that kind of statements that local liberals seem to immediately buy into and start thinking it's a good thing. . . until those folks add to the homeless population. . .

Has CA offered to re-location for Maui?
16
General Discussion / Re: CCW Insurance
« on: January 14, 2025, 11:38:21 AM »
I have umbrella for my main residence, investment properties, and car.  At least mine doesn't cover firearms for loss and liability.  Not sure of all umbrellas, but my friend (and insurance agent) indicated that most are quite focused.  I looked into insuring my firearms against loss (fire and/or theft) a while back and couldn't find anything, but don't recall if it was not availble or not worth the $$$. 

Aside, my buddy also advised separate insurance for valuables.  For him, stuff like Rolex and other watches, jewelry, etc.  Where most insurance coverage is usually quite limited.

Umbrella is for liability only and not your property.  Many homeowners cover for some firearms itself like $1K or so.  Then you can increase the cap to like $4K, but nothing like $20K worth of firearms.  Same with jelwrey.  But for jewelry, you can "schedule" each item separately on your homeowners.  This means you usually need an appraisal and detailed description of the item.

So knowing the guns you have, you will need a separate firearms only policy.

Check your homeowners. If it doesn't exclude it, then it's usually covered. So there should be a mention of a cap for firearms itself.  There will also be a firearms liability exclusion somewhere too. 
17
Off Topic / Re: What happened to the Vegas I used to know.....smh
« on: January 14, 2025, 11:33:11 AM »
Yeah, because the majority of players play the right side, the dark side is not looked to well amongst the majority.

I like when I play alone at the table.  Fun because I try all sorts of things like dark side and other strategies that require a lot of work for the dealers.

On a busy table some strategies that require the dealer to set up across then take it all down is frowned upon.

Many years ago, before I knew how to bet to maximize my profits (play place #s), I was at NYNY and on an empty table. I was only betting like $10 on pass and 1-2X odds.  I had already made 2 points. THen this guy comes and bets $600 in DP. I made my point. He then bet $800 on DP and I made that point too. He then left.  The dealers all laughed when he left.
18
Political Discussion / Re: Masie Hirono steps up----again
« on: January 14, 2025, 11:18:29 AM »
SHe asked him since he promised he won't drink to a few GOP members, if he does drink, will he resign.  I mean, say you seal a deal with X country and a drink is needed.
19
General Discussion / Re: CCW Insurance
« on: January 14, 2025, 11:16:58 AM »
So I had someone from AOR call me after I emailed them yesterday.

1) They will cover for civil defense, which means your lawyer fees. But they won't cover if you lose and the other party is awarded any money for damages. Or any settlement.

2) They have lawyers in HI and in AZ who can practice in HI.  There is no way that you won't be able to not have a lawyer assigned to you.  I asked about retainer limit of say $50K for a Rittenhouse type cost and lawyers may decline your case due to it's heavy cost.

3) If you go to NV/live in , they have to apply to practice there pro hac or something.  Compared to #2 above, they're already g2g in HI.

4) They do not cover for red flag charges.  USCCA does and will pay up to $15,000 for a lawyer.


In the next 2 months, they will be adjusting their program, but adding stuff. Not removing things.
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General Discussion / Re: CCW Insurance
« on: January 14, 2025, 11:03:09 AM »
Did you ever look into a standard umbrella policy? I know a $1 million is a common umbrella coverage amount, that would seem to be enough to pay lawyers and it would cover other things you might encounter, not just a weapon use.

A personal umbrella policy is a "follow" form.  WHich means it has to be covered by your homeowners liability coverage first in order for the umbrella to kick in.  Many carriers exclude firearm type incidents for liability. So no, then even the umbrella won't cover.
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