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Messages - DocMercy

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1
Preparedness and Survival / Re: Market Meltdown
« on: May 06, 2025, 08:57:29 AM »
It all depends upon whether Fed chairman Jerome Powell is willing to allow the Fed to turn on quantitative easing. They will certainly help hedge funds, but will he lower interest rates and open up a borrowing window for the low capitalization mid-tier and smaller banks? Even Warren Buffett cannot discern what is going to happen in the economy. He announced his retirement, because the future is no longer predictable, nor is it controllable.
2
Even if you could obtain a permit, a structural engineer told me in 2007 that the soil in HI would not generally support a basement. He had a query from a mainlander (Northeast USA) who wanted to build a home with a basement in Honolulu. Sure, if he were a corporation with tens of millions of dollars, and a licensed architect and construction company, they might be able to do it.
3
Preparedness and Survival / Re: Using Canned Goods
« on: May 06, 2025, 08:39:22 AM »
I have a case of Chef Boyardee Spaghetti, and some cans of their ravioli. Yuck. I'll only open them when the SHTF. It is very hard to mimic the taste of freshly prepared pasta. Where is everyone getting their boxed durum spaghetti from? Nothing at my Costco or Whole Foods Market stores.
4
Political Discussion / Re: Housing Crash 2025
« on: April 28, 2025, 08:12:03 AM »

Then there's the constant upkeep and improvements which home refinancing and equity loans make possible.  It's rare to hire anyone to do work on your home and spend less than $10,000.  A new roof for mine would be over $24K.  That's insane.

Tell me about that. We have been improvers, sellers and purchasers, in the past two years. First, a new roof on our primary home was estimated to cost $155,000 in east Oahu. Not the price of an asphalt tile, but concrete tile. There are homes in what used to be "reasonable" investments in Kapolei (west Oahu). These modest houses had Monier tile roofs. That company was purchased by another company, and zoom, up went the replacement costs. It is so expensive to replace tile roofs now that many of my neighbors put off the repair, and rely on a hurricane to entertain the project. I am not in a position to take a 100% hit for this replacement. It was cheaper to just replace 30 faulty tiles for $3000.
As for selling a property, that has been the most hellish experience since 2008. My wife took out a hard money loan on a condo. This bled close to $85K from our assets. She had no idea about how to smoothly complete the fixups needed to put the property on the market. She had one buyer who needed to obtain a VA loan in 2025. This took nearly two months to complete. The gubmint surprisingly approved the required loan amount, which allowed the wife to avoid defaulting on her hard money loan. I have no idea about the future of the VA loan process, with or without DOGE meddling. If you are a veteran and need to buy a home, good luck before the market collapses.
The third thing we did in the past two years was buying a home for one of our Ohana. If an individual or family has to go through the hoops to obtain a loan in this time frame, it will be worse than getting a root canal, heart transplant, and brain surgery. Most old homes have undocumented improvements, and while lenders seem to ignore these features, the Department of Planning and Permits could make your life hellish, in the future.
Real estate investment in 2025 will be a challenge. This youtube video is one of the pessimistic views of the housing market.


5
General Discussion / Re: UnitedHealthcare CEO assassinated
« on: December 08, 2024, 04:47:12 PM »
This video claims that the shooter was an amateur. It opens up a can of worms as far as how many unanswered questions remain.



The victim may not be CEO Thompson, for all we know. Did his wife ID the body? Why would someone stage something as crazy as this idea? This is 'murica, that's why.
The shooter may or may not be discovered for weeks. Many in the public may even hide him while the manhunt goes on.
How many states allow the shooter to practice on a range using a handgun with a suppressor attached? If he practiced on a private lot, that would be a different story, but no range owner has come forth to id the guy.
6
General Discussion / Re: Airguns Hawaii
« on: May 22, 2024, 09:46:22 AM »
There are some ordinances being considered that probably ban open carry or firing in a public space. I do not know if KHSC even has a lane for air rifles, since the range re-opened,



$500 dolla fine, braddah, for open carry.
7
General Discussion / Airguns Hawaii
« on: May 22, 2024, 09:26:05 AM »
This store is located in Wahiawa, and yelp says that it is currently closed.

https://airgunhawaii.com/

Has any member ever used their shooting range?

Second question, where can an airgun owner try out this rifle in Oahu?

8
General Discussion / Re: Vista outdoors sold to Czechs
« on: May 22, 2024, 08:34:57 AM »
After 6 months, why is this news drawing the attention of the Wall Street Journal today?

https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/foreign-purchase-of-u-s-ammo-maker-sparks-national-security-battle-db31490d

Sorry for the pay-walled link, but this is a Rupert Murdoch owned company. In the capitalist world, ammo is a commodity, and like a lot of other products, it gets outsourced to foreign manufacturers. We probably agree that this is a national security issue, but why didn't Mike Johnson take care of it with hearings? The National Police Officers Organization and many other groups are against the takeover. Whose pockets are being lined to get the domestic business possibly gutted?
I found a more recent article (about a month old) that is not pay-walled-
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/vista-outdoor-urges-mnc-capital-increase-offer-price-3-bln-bid-2024-04-22/
Since VSTO is still trading this morning, I hope there is a deal looming that would protect U.S. interests.
9
That lady looks cool. Wish we had more practical women like her on the islands. Life skills for surviving in the wild (including cold weather) are vital. Until an individual or family is confronted with a real life or death situation, they really do not have the proper perspective or skills to make it through the hard times. Imagine if we lost power for a week on the most populated island? Most residents would go bonkers, maybe raiding what remains at Costco.
One of the things we need to be wary about is where to store food. There seems to be a surge in the ant population here in Hawaii.
https://americanpest.net/blog/ant-populations-are-about-to-explode/
These little critters can get into almost anything. Due to higher rainfall, even the Opala recycle bins attract large populations of ants.
Watertight ammo crates seem to block entry by ants looking for crackers and other semi-dry foods. The most effective blocking "insecticide" is no longer sold anywhere in the US.

What are the alternatives? In a SHTF crisis, pest control could become a serious problem not too many people are prepared for.
10
Preparedness and Survival / Turd World Power
« on: May 19, 2024, 07:10:06 AM »
Very poor acknowledgement to one of the last big power outages on Oahu:

https://x.com/HwnElectric/status/1792104184545738902

From a cursory read, it appears to have started in Mililani at around 11:15 PM Saturday May 18, 2024. It hit my neighborhood around midnight. My security cam shows a black hole ending at 3:43 AM on Sunday. I estimate 100K customers experienced the blackout, based on the fact that it struck town. Uganda has a better power grid. As usual, the HECO employees monitoring X (Twitter) posted few updates before and after the outage.

Anyone have ideas on how to set up a hospital grade backup power system? It needs to support either a freezer or refrigerator for several days. MRE and dry foods are only a partial solution. Real men like pizza, frozen or refrigerated. Cold beer is a must. Is dry ice (CO2) viable? I think Thermoelectric refrigerators can work at 12 V, but what's hospital grade?

11
Political Discussion / Obama's Brother Endorses Trump
« on: August 15, 2023, 11:32:31 AM »
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-lands-endorsement-that-no-one-saw-coming/ar-AA1fiGY0

Malik Obama makes no bones about his feelings. "The enemy of mine enemy is you know what."
12
Political Discussion / Re: Lahaina conspiracy theories
« on: August 15, 2023, 11:25:46 AM »
Tin foil or not, someone needs to archive all the property records in the damaged areas. I saw a fly-by video on youtube, but the records tell the true story. Which properties are fee simple, which are leasehold, and how many are owned by shady trusts? Document the assessed values, before and after. What are the mineral rights? We are witnessing an $8 billion dollar loss, which will get worse when inflation, insurance and taxes destroy homeowners across all islands. HECO and Maui Electric are going to sock us with infrastructure rate boosts. We pay for their dumb mistakes, and they make more money.
13
Lots of suspicious causes of the fire, including the pre and aftermath. Not surprising we bungle a lot things, as humans. The NY Times and other sources generated a "list" of causes. This is a non firewalled version of the article:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/development-tourism-and-climate-change-how-humans-made-mauis-catastrophic-wildfires-worse-215135003.html

It is a shame they blamed homeless people for cooking outdoors. The "blame" game has no boundaries.

I will give you the inner city solution to the problem. Build concrete or brick housing projects in areas which are susceptible to fires. I lived in one of these buildings for six years, and no amount of drug dealing, smoking, indoor BBQ'ing could destroy the buildings. Just bring in stone masons from da mainland, and we could have a Cabrini Green complex built on the shores of Maui in one year flat. Cabrini Green (Chicago) and the housing projects in NYC were built 100x better than any condo in Hawaii. For a million bucks, all you get is a shack in HI.

They should now convene a panel of experts to assess what went wrong. Classic case in point was the Challenger space shuttle disaster. Richard Feynman was on that panel. Take this with a grain of salt. Like the Kennedy assassination, the real causes of any catastrophe are never fully fleshed out.
14
Here's da problem with suicide by gun. It is often not the real cause of death of a person. It can be a staged act, when a wife rigs up ("arranges") the death of her husband.

There was a "death by suicide" of a cop on a neighbor island. Like a lot of acts, it was covered up by local authorities.

On the mainland, we have the case of a "texting suicide" caused by a nasty woman messing with the mind of her boyfriend. He died by carbon monoxide poisoning. She was convicted of manslaughter. Do we ban cars, using CDC reasoning?
15
Preparedness and Survival / Re: Lahaina Fire Lessons Learned
« on: August 14, 2023, 09:02:31 AM »
For the homeowners who have to build a new home over the land that once held their own home, please choose your builder carefully.



Nothing is guaranteed, but buffers, roofs, and fire resistant double walled materials should help. Battery operated smoke and carbon monoxide alarms are critical. This state (HI) is full of unqualified, shoddy contractors. As bad as the bandits who work out of Florida. My neighbor's new pool leaked, and the contractor had to be called back three times. Find out who works for Oprah or Jason Mamoa. Use da best.
16
Political Discussion / Re: climate change caused Maui fires?
« on: August 13, 2023, 08:49:49 AM »
I theorize that the bad building codes allowed the flames to spread like wildfire. Being near the ocean, it would not be surprising if acetone and other accelerants were present in some homes. During the demolition process, FEMA should devote some funds to researching better ways to protect neighborhoods from massive, uncontrolled destruction. There are third world countries with better fire control / safety regulations on their books. State Farm, which is one of the biggest insurers in Hawaii, will probably put the hammer down on homeowners. Their underwriters are probably going to force new customers to pay for fire assessments on their homes. If the property does not meet current codes, the owner will have to self-insure. We have only to look at what insurance companies have done in Florida. The victims of any disaster are never confined to just the damaged community.
17
Political Discussion / Re: Yes, Civil Asset Forfeiture is Real
« on: August 13, 2023, 08:34:05 AM »
Huge issue. Both state and federal governments think they're entitled to every cent you've earned, and probably already paid taxes on. Citizens who keep assets in cash or precious metals are right to be scared about the collapse of our banking system, but the government does not want you to protect yourself by remaining liquid. When I worked in Arizona, it was likely that most paper cash was tainted by drug residue, and anytime you were stopped by CBP, a dog could sniff it out, if the agent got too nosey. But officer, "I carry a large amount of money to gamble at the nearby casinos." Sorry, buddy, but you look like a drug dealer. We're radioing highway patrol.
I understand that in some of Lehto's videos, money was seized from safe deposit boxes. There goes that idea for keeping your money in a safe place.
Moral of this story: buy a bloodhound who can sniff out drug money, and exchange bad bills at your local bank. You're innocent, but the money you get at a club may not be clean. Don't comingle new money with old money, until you verify that the new stash is clean.
18
Preparedness and Survival / Re: shtf apartment preps
« on: August 12, 2023, 07:31:01 AM »
Three tings u need: 45 automatic handgun, shotgun, and plenty of ammo (preferably in a mag).

The fourth thing you need to find is inside the apartment building. She's a blonde.



19
Preparedness and Survival / Re: Lahaina Fire Lessons Learned
« on: August 12, 2023, 07:16:07 AM »
This is a pickle. Do I keep docs like passports, social cards, birth certs, etc...in my BOB?

Unless you need to use your passport for foreign travel, keep it in a safe deposit box in a reputable bank, together with an Ironkey USB drive that contains your important digital files. If a house burns down completely, how do you reconstruct your tax returns, receipts, etc.? Not easy. This piece of advice was given to me by an FBI agent. Also important to keep a small laptop and backup cell phone in your bug out bag.

The electrical infrastructure on Oahu is horrible. Bad enough that we suffer from outages periodically, but in a real disaster situation, the electric company will probably be one of the causes of your home burning down.

The situation in West Maui could be getting worse with looters taking advantage of the situation.



There was a story on yahoo about a painter (Ariel Quiroz) who used a sprinkler to wet down his house on Tuesday morning. This could be an urban legend that may be real.

20
Competition / Re: Air Rifle Competition
« on: July 24, 2023, 11:12:15 AM »
With all the old people in the state, why are there no Senior competitions? Are organizers afraid of old people being unable to get off a mat, or falling asleep during the match?
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