Well, I guess I don't support the 2A then, because you all have decided that I don't.

Take the $100 I donated (and everything else I have done to lobby) and buy yourself some lunch for your efforts, because I apparently was not supporting the cause to begin with.

Good luck.

please show me where a "free-wheeling right to carry guns in public degrades others constitutional rights"...

Because anyone, carrying any gun, anytime, encompasses the tenets of civil unrest. There must be some measure of where, when, and how a person can carry a gun, because that's what laws do and without laws, there is unrest. It is a question of magnitude in re these laws, not a question of the legitimacy of the 2A.

If there was a massive hurricane, would you care that your felon neighbor is standing on the roof of their house with an AR? Probably not, if they are keeping to themselves. If that same neighbor was doing that during a time of peace, I would hope you call the police.

I'm confused.

Why was there expansion in the first two videos but not in the 3rd? Seems pretty dramatic of a difference. Barrel length on the G44 and TX22 about the same. I can't imagine a 2.5" barrel getting any expansion at all despite the ammo being "optimized".

Am I missing something?

In statistics, the terms up and down are normally reserved for trends.  Trends have a specific definition, which are based not on a cherry-picked or manipulative start/stop period, statistical method or interpretation. [1]

The only way for someone to report the opposite trend from what the data supports is either lying or hiding the actual data. [2]

If i tell you crime is down, and I'm using only the comparison between yesterday and today, that's an absolute lie.  A trend is not defined by a 24 hour period.  if that's what's being used, then it's reqired that the trend be reported with "over the past 24 hours" in the report. [3]

So, while statistics can be, and are, manipulated to provide a desired answer, that answer needs to be within the realm of accepted statistical standards. [4]

Trends are based on direct data evidence, not some statistical method that changes from another method. [5]

Trend analysis can use statistical methods to filter, smooth or isolate trends that are hidden or not well defined in a "noisy" dataset, but the trend still exists if the data supports it.   The direction doesn't change with those methods.  It's either up, down, or not present,  it can't be altered unless the analyst is manipulating the data or the results. [6]

There are at least 3 basic weaknesses in trend analysis:

1.  All data is subject to sampling errors.  That's not the case with HPD using actual numbers the department gathered from official reports.  Unless the reporting process is error prone, the datat used is as close to correct as you could expect. [7]

2.  Data is subject to sampling errors.  Again, since HPD has ALL the data, there's nothing to be gained by even using a sampling method.  The amount of data over a few years is not so massive that samples should be used.  It's always best to use ALL available data, which given the totals HPD often reports publcly, is not a problem for them. [8]

3.  "Phantom" trends can crop up in short term data points.  That's why trends should be studied as far back as possible.  To pick a short term in which a given trend is reported tells me they are cherry-picking the data if the data isn't being labeled "short term" with the specific period also labeled.  i.e. if reporting the number of gun sales year over year, it would be inaccurate to report 2020 sales versus 2024.  So much about 2020 was unique that comparing that with 3 years later would be considered cherry-picking unless the numbers are being used to illustrate a specific point being made -- not to report a trend. [9]

Up, down or flat -- it can't be more than one if the data is being used correctly and reported honestly. [10]

1) A "trend" is just something observed in a Time Series Analysis. There are many different types of Time Series Analyses and some of them in fact do in fact use "manipulative start/stop methods" see: "Interrupted Time Series Analysis". "Cherry Picking" could be used to skew results, but technically all samples within a population are cherry-picked, and without a sample you cannot perform a statistical analysis.

2) Maybe. Most people cannot be bothered trying to understand the comprehensive statistical method(s) of the stats they are receiving, the same way most people cannot be bothered calculating friction coefficients but trust its safe to be on airplanes and drive cars anyway.

3) False. Trends can absolutely be reported using 24 hour denominations (see: "day-to-day trend"). Additionally, in some cases, data from preceding/proceeding days/months/years may be unavailable. In these cases, you can employ other statistical methods to determine if the "true mean" lies within your sample, especially if the qualitative and quantitative nature of your population is unknown (ex: we know human height is evenly distributed, even if we cannot and did not measure everyone on the planets height to reach this conclusion).

4) Agree.

5) False. The "trend" from every conceivable statistical model may or may not be congruent. This is why in an academic study the author must demonstrate why a particular model was used over the alternatives. In the news, they can report whatever they want.

6) Trend analysis is a particularly useful benefit of stats, however, analysts can absolutely change the observable trend. You can add or remove "noise" from a dataset by changing the sample within a population. For this reason, "outliers" are usually identified and accompanied with an explanation as to why they were omitted--and the opposite may also occur (Think about the HPD Major(?) who said rape was not included in the crime statistics because rape is an indoor crime and Waikiki is "outdoors", and therefore "crime in District 6 is down").

7) As ChangeMyOil666 reports, sometimes crimes occur without the documentation of a police report. Interestingly enough, a proper and comprehensive statistical analysis can account for this (see: point estimation)

Samples are used for many reasons, especially when using a population of data is costly, inaccurate, or ineffective. Generally speaking, the smaller the sample, the more accurate the analysis.

9) Agree, especially since we should know how many "non-private sales" occurred within the state. In a statistical analysis, years such as 2020 may possibly be excluded, but in such an event, there should be an explanation.

10) Agree, but not many people want the real "facts and data", and would prefer to receive the 'analysis' according to the narrative they subscribe (left or right).

I've been told harsh prison conditions don't deter crime [1].  Only a support network which can embarrass the offender into not wanting to go back to prison can prevent that person from breaking the law in the future. [2]

Or something like that....

Curious if you would ever factor in those prison conditions should you ever be tempted to fracture a law again?

1) There is significant scientific evidence that demonstrates incarceration is ineffective as a deterrent and actually has a dramatic effect on furthering reoffence (see: School to Prison Pipeline). There is also 'collateral damage' when it comes to harsh penalties as well. I remember SCOTUS case involving a juvenile who was expelled from school under a "Zero Tolerance Policy" for bringing a small pocket knife to school that she forgot in her backpack. The knife was discovered in her bag during a random locker search. The student explained she was using it to cut open haybales on the farm and had forgotten to remove it from her purse before the next school day.

2) Not exactly. Strong social bonds prevent people from committing crime to begin with, in addition to the shame someone will experience in those social circles if they are arrested; found guilty; and spends time in jail for a crime. Think of it this way... some people may be more afraid of their parents beating their ass for stealing even if retail theft is decriminalized, whereas others may have friends and family who are joining them in retail theft because they are entitled to self-help "reparations".

Cop should be dead if the bad guy wanted it to happen.
May be an ego and dominance thing.  Bad guy initially wants to shoot and kill cop.  When the cop ran, fell, and was rendered defenseless, bad guy felt dominating the cop was better than killing him.

Not choosing the most efficient means of slaying does not mean death was not intended. Yes, he could've taken the cops gun and shot him with it, or stayed to beat the cop longer.

The perpetrator could've expended all of his rounds or had a serious weapon malfunction and was unable to continue firing. Perhaps the officers firearm was lost during the encounter, or the thought of using it escaped the perps mind. Maybe the perp thought the officer was already dead, or felt he did not have time to escape if the beating continued. It could also be that the perp, despite looking like he's a good shot, incidentally hit the cop in the legs rather than the head.

One can speculate on what drove the perpetrator to attack the officer (and allegedly engage in prior criminal behavior), but I think the perps intent to kill was very clear.

Interested in this as well.

I have either a stock Gen 5 G19 slide, or a precut Noveske slide with cuts for a Holosun 407/507 (can it be modified?), that needs to be cut for a Holosun EPS Carry.

If possible, I would like to see previously completed work. I don't want my "muffin top" fat rolls to get cutup from jagged edges when I sit down lol

EDIT: I bought that stupid optic when Holosun was having Production Possibility Frontier issues lol. After like a year of waiting, it shows up. Still sitting on my desk, NIB. I can't practice my 1-hand "rack-tap reload" using my navel as a fulcrum without an optic.

I'm glad those officers closed in quick, because whoever was in that white car sure looked like they wanted to run the guy over which would have been bad for the profession.

I don't know why the suspect ran into the officer with the dash cams car. 

Donated.

Even though apparently I'm "not on the same team" as everyone else here.

Let the conspiracy theories, as to my "true purpose" for being on the forums, begin!

"Only a piece of Sith deals in absolutes"* -Obiwan Kenobi

*May or may not be verbatim

Stack bot

You are creating a false dichotomy. There are plenty of options between our current practice of letting ‘em all out vs torture chambers and reinstatement of the death penalty. I’m curious if you just don’t get what’s going on with our institutional failure or are you intentionally trying to muddy the waters.

Calling someone a "bot" is an incredibly unsophisticated, low IQ insult.

Ironic you're saying I created a false dichotomy on a forum where anyone who doesn't wholly agree with the popularist majority is shunned as an outcast. This becomes even more clear when you refer to my posts as "muddying the water", as if I'm trying to keep you from peering into your scrying pool to find comfort in your narrow world view when in reality all I am trying to do is open up intellectual discussions with my academic insights.

As for execution and life in prison, it absolutely DOES deter people from criminal acts.  It's a proven fact that every single person executed has never committed another crime.   

Do executions and life sentences deter ALL capital crimes?  Of course not, but there's no way to know whether or not someone decided against murder or rape based on the potential consequences. 

Nobody said that, so why are you "illustrating" anything?

Well, you're very hard to understand sometimes--it does deter (assuming corpses can be deterred from engaging in further action); but it's impossible to know if anything deters. I have to "illustrate", because when I attempt to bring science into the picture, you never seem to acknowledge it, yet you refer to elements of criminology in some of your posts even if you don't know the technical terms for those things by name. "Hedonic Calculus"; "Social Control Theory" etc. have you tried reading into those things, or have you already made up your mind?

If a couple sentences are "word salad", I don't imagine giving you access to a study posted to an academic journal will be of much value to you. You rejected my thoughts, even told me you don't care what I think (and that you're older than me, for whatever reason), so I think it's best to say that you've made up your mind.