Because you asked why that wasn't covered. Like I said, if you want to cover that aspect we can, I am not opposed to it, it just isn't relevant to the question of the success rates that I was talking about.
In my world? You mean the statistics? I already explained it is not about numbers of suicides with one tool compared to other tools, it is the number of times someone tries to commit suicide and succeeds compared to the number of times they try but do not succeed. Perhaps I didn't explain it very well the first time, so let me try it a little differently.
If you look at:
1000 people who shoot themselves
1000 people who overdose
1000 people who hang themselves
1000 people who cut their wrists
1000 people who use carbon monoxide poisoning
1000 people who use the exit bag method
etc
You are going to have different rates or survival for each category. Due to various factors, some of these methods have lower success rates than others. Shooting oneself is the most successful because 95 of those 100 (IIRC) will end up dying whereas much fewer of the people who try the other means will end up dying.
So if hanging has a 50% success rate (made up number) and firearms have a 95% success rate that would mean a person committing suicide who has access to a rope but not a firearm is less likely to und up dead.
My working theory is that because most other methods give people a chance to change their mind.
Your theory has a gapping hole. Most people who choose methods other than firearms do not have, nor have access to, firearms. That's the main point to your argument. Access to firearms equals fewer people who survive.
However, if I concede that more people survive from non-firearm attempts, AND you concede that the statistics from the CDC state that only half the suicides were from firearms, the logical deduction has to be that more people are attempting suicide without firearms than they are with guns. Not just the ones who survive, but the ones who die, too
If 1000 people use firearms and 1% survive, that's 990 people who succeeded.
if 1000 people used other then firearms and 10% survive, that's 900 people who succeeded.
So, you agree that 990 and 900 are not 50/50, right? Therefore, to get a 50/50 ratio, 1000 people used firearms, but 1100 attempted suicide with non-firearms. That would provide the 990 successes to equal the other group.
So, for your facts to make sense, 1000 people have to use a gun, and 1100 have to not use a gun.
The survival rate in the gun group is lower, but the number of people choosing to not use guns -- for whatever reason -- is necessarily larger than the gun group, and it has the same number of successful suicide attempts as the gun group -- 50/50.
The bigger question is how many of the non-gun group didn't really want to die -- those with potential access to guns but without 100% commitment? We can also assume that some of the successes in that group were not 100% committed but wound up not getting saved as they'd planned/hoped/assumed.
No matter how you slice and dice the statistics, limiting the variables to a binary option regarding firearms is useless.