I have been trying to figure out how the new tax bill is going to effect the home owner as compared to the real estate investor? Today I was listening to my favorite real estate investing podcast and they went through the new tax bill and how it effects both the home owner and the real estate investor. Owner occupied home ownership is at an all time low since 2004 at which time it peaked. Yet new homes are continuously being built. This means homes are being purchased less and less by owner occupants. Rather they are being purchased by investors and being used as rentals.
As far as the new tax bill is concerned, it lowers the amount an owner can deduct their mortgage interest, property taxes and state and local taxes. All of this discourages home ownership. Especially new buyers looking for a home. And it effects the people even more so on both coasts of the mainland. In particular the high income tax states like NY and CA. So the consensus is that the new tax bill will contribute to further erosion of home ownership and encourage more people to rent. The consensus also claimed that more and more real estate investors are not buying their own homes until they reach a certain level of rental income.
According to the real estate experts, the new tax bill along with interest rates rising will also effect home owners from buying a home to live in. And this in turn will effect the prices and values of real estate mostly on the east and west coast states where home prices are ridiculously high. They predicted a drop in property values across the states with the coastal states being hit the most.
Another lesser known boon to real estate investors is now that all updates and upgrades to rental properties as well as purchases of assets for your business is 100% deductible in the year the purchases were made instead of being depreciated over a timeframe.
My conclusion is that before the new tax bill, it was a good time to be a real estate investor. Now, it is even better.
For every positive benefit in real estate, there is a corresponding negative factor. It all depends on whether you buy, rent, or sell.
Sellers are going to experience lower prices in some areas if rental investments and home ownership levels decline. Less demand = lower prices. Good for buyers.
Owners looking to use their equity for upgrades, college, etc. can take advantage of low interest rates and higher prices now. The principle being spent will assist in economic growth.
Anyone looking to buy another property might want to sell now, rent, and wait for prices to come down. They have a certain number of years to put their profit on their sold home into another home before paying capital gains on it.
There's no absolute rule for how the tax reform bill will affect home buying, selling or prices early on. If people aren't buying, prices may be a bigger factor than tax advantages. If you can't afford the payments and don't have a huge downpayment, you're not going to take the house even with a huge tax refund every year.