Is Trump not for free trade? (Read 17004 times)

eyeeatingfish

Is Trump not for free trade?
« on: August 31, 2018, 09:17:29 AM »
Just saw this news story. In Trump's quest to negotiate better trade deals the European Union offered to eliminate all tarriffs on cars of the US did the same. Trump rejected the offer saying it wasn't good enough because Europeans preferred European cars.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/08/30/trump-rejects-eu-offer-to-eliminate-auto-tariffs.html

When I first learned of the criticisms of NAFTA I discovered one of the biggest objections from conservatives is that it wasn't truly free trade. It still had protectionism with all sorts of tarriffs.

So now we manage to get a proposal that would be truly equal, no tarriffs on either side and Trump is rejecting it? He wants something better for us because of customer preferences? That sounds like protectionism, am I missing something?

changemyoil66

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2018, 09:31:39 AM »
To me it sounds like we would be losing out.  Because he's right, EU likes EU cars (Benz, BMW, etc..).  And more EU cars get shipped here than US cars (Ford, Chevy, etc...) that get shipped over there.

So we would be losing money if we called it even Steven.  I'm not an economist so I didn't research it fully.  But just the above makes sense in my head.

Same goes with Asian countries probably.  When I was in Taiwan, I didn't see 1 US car.  Lots of Toyota's.  Maybe a few EU cars.

So if my above statement is correct then the fake news would spin a title like "Trump hates free trade".

Mr. Farknocker

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2018, 09:40:30 AM »
Trump's statement is either intentionally left open-ended by the author to imply the he means to impose tarriffs of his own on European automobiles or Trump really hasn't stated what his intent is. While imposing tarriffs on European cars can certainly be included in the list of things he could have meant by his statement,  it is by no means exclusive. He is an experienced negotiator and may be using the opportunity to leverage other aspects of trade where other European protectionist measures are in place like parts manufacturing, jobs, etc. It may become apparent what Trump is shooting in the coming days. Let's see what shakes out.

Flapp_Jackson

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2018, 10:26:45 AM »
Quote
Eliminating tariffs on U.S. auto imports would do little for General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co., but would lend
a major boost to Germany’s BMW AG and Daimler AG. SUVs assembled by the German carmakers in the American
South dominate the models exported to Europe from the U.S.


BMW for example is projected to sell nearly 70,000 X3 SUVs in Europe made in its South Carolina factory this year,
according to data from LMC Automotive. Compare that to roughly 15,000 units of Tesla Inc.’s Model S sedan, which
LMC, an industry data consultancy, projects will be the top-selling model in Europe assembled in the U.S. by an American
automaker.

Trump has ordered his Commerce Department to investigate whether car imports imperil national security, under the
same provision he invoked to impose global tariffs on steel and aluminum earlier this year.

The findings of the auto study are due by February, though the president could decide to act before then. This week, Trump
threatened Canada with auto tariffs if the country failed to join his trade deal with Mexico to replace Nafta.

One of the issues to be examined is the presence of European car makers in the US.  Many have factories here so they can avoid the tariffs.  Some on them brought in workers from Poland, Slovenia, and Croatia rather than hire US workers.  If we drop the tariffs, European cars made in US plants could more cheaply be shipped to EU countries, further increasing the imbalance in European vs. American brands sold there.

Free trade isn't just about tariffs.  It's also about being able to compete with countries that don't pay workers or provide comparable benefits and retirement packages as US makers.  Labor costs and taxes keep US car makers from being able to compete with lower-priced foreign cars.


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-foreign-workers-used-to-build-auto-plants-in-us/
The reasonable man adapts himself to the world;
the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself.
Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man.
-- George Bernard Shaw

changemyoil66

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2018, 12:29:25 PM »
One of the issues to be examined is the presence of European car makers in the US.  Many have factories here so they can avoid the tariffs.  Some on them brought in workers from Poland, Slovenia, and Croatia rather than hire US workers.  If we drop the tariffs, European cars made in US plants could more cheaply be shipped to EU countries, further increasing the imbalance in European vs. American brands sold there.

Free trade isn't just about tariffs.  It's also about being able to compete with countries that don't pay workers or provide comparable benefits and retirement packages as US makers.  Labor costs and taxes keep US car makers from being able to compete with lower-priced foreign cars.


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-foreign-workers-used-to-build-auto-plants-in-us/

So Trump is playing 4D chess again.  Art of the deal.

groveler

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2018, 12:32:16 PM »
To me it sounds like we would be losing out.  Because he's right, EU likes EU cars (Benz, BMW, etc..).  And more EU cars get shipped here than US cars (Ford, Chevy, etc...) that get shipped over there.

So we would be losing money if we called it even Steven.  I'm not an economist so I didn't research it fully.  But just the above makes sense in my head.

Same goes with Asian countries probably.  When I was in Taiwan, I didn't see 1 US car.  Lots of Toyota's.  Maybe a few EU cars.

So if my above statement is correct then the fake news would spin a title like "Trump hates free trade".
The reason you see lots of Toyota's is that they make vehicles that don't have to conform to the EPA BS regulations,
and can be used anywhere in the world, except America.
Our car companies only make cars that can be sold in The Democrat state of California, thus making them too in-efficient and
expensive, for the rest of the world.
.

drck1000

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2018, 12:48:56 PM »
As said above, the issue of free trade is way beyond tariffs.  Tariffs is what is most discussed because it generally affects the bottom line pretty quickly.  However in order to get the bigger picture, you have to look into how things changed as a result of previous arrangements and also be able to try to envision how the market will respond.  I can't remember the details, but the issue of tariffs was brought up on the subject of tariffs applies to washing machines.  Essentially, LG and other asian products were thriving and threatening companies like Kenmore, GE, etc.  The tariffs were applied to imports, to LG started to product their products in the US and they hired mostly foreign workers, so initially somewhat of a backfire as it didn't level anything.  There are also companies that get into the finer details to find ways around.  Like I believe the current tariff discussion is looking toward setting a minimum percentage of parts produced in the US to avoid just the product being assembled in the US and get around the import tariffs, fees, etc.  It's super complex and these companies are damn smart! 

Anyways, like many discussion with Trump, will just have to wait and see.  Though I have to applaud his efforts in trying to improve things in favor of the US, as opposed to failures to do anything by previous administrations as they gave in to the threats by EU, China, etc, which appears not were largely them blowing smoke.  Their economies are just as vulnerable and need to play nice as well with trading partners.  Just that now, Trump is challenging that balance. 

changemyoil66

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2018, 12:56:17 PM »
As said above, the issue of free trade is way beyond tariffs.  Tariffs is what is most discussed because it generally affects the bottom line pretty quickly.  However in order to get the bigger picture, you have to look into how things changed as a result of previous arrangements and also be able to try to envision how the market will respond.  I can't remember the details, but the issue of tariffs was brought up on the subject of tariffs applies to washing machines.  Essentially, LG and other asian products were thriving and threatening companies like Kenmore, GE, etc.  The tariffs were applied to imports, to LG started to product their products in the US and they hired mostly foreign workers, so initially somewhat of a backfire as it didn't level anything.  There are also companies that get into the finer details to find ways around.  Like I believe the current tariff discussion is looking toward setting a minimum percentage of parts produced in the US to avoid just the product being assembled in the US and get around the import tariffs, fees, etc.  It's super complex and these companies are damn smart! 

Anyways, like many discussion with Trump, will just have to wait and see.  Though I have to applaud his efforts in trying to improve things in favor of the US, as opposed to failures to do anything by previous administrations as they gave in to the threats by EU, China, etc, which appears not were largely them blowing smoke.  Their economies are just as vulnerable and need to play nice as well with trading partners.  Just that now, Trump is challenging that balance.

And this is the problem with the fake news.  They only report that "Trump doesn't want to deal".  Vs. explaining why and hows.

Flapp_Jackson

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2018, 12:59:33 PM »
And this is the problem with the fake news.  They only report that "Trump doesn't want to deal".  Vs. explaining why and hows.

It seems only one person in this forum falls for the fake news ... again and again and again ...

 :wacko:
The reasonable man adapts himself to the world;
the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself.
Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man.
-- George Bernard Shaw

macsak

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2018, 01:32:16 PM »
It seems only one person in this forum falls for the fake news ... again and again and again ...

 :wacko:

and his "research" never shows how wrong he is...

changemyoil66

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2018, 01:49:35 PM »
It seems only one person in this forum falls for the fake news ... again and again and again ...

 :wacko:

CNN ads on FB are slowly turning my coworker.  Good thing she knows to ask me what's up 1st.

Had an ad about a mother who lost custody to her child (mother is illegal, unsure about child, CNN didn't say).  I had to explain adoption laws to her.

1) Upon being arrested, illegal can either voluntary return to country with child, or stay and wait for court date. But mother and child get separate court hearings.  Many illegals choose option 2.  That's why in this case, the mother was in jail for the past 5 years.
2) Whether child is legal or illegal, parent has to sign off.  And if child is illegal, country of origin has to sign off also.  Many adopting parents hire an adoption attorney for this reason.  If child is a US citizen, then CPS gets involved also.

So in the end, it opened my coworkers eye to not believe or dig deeper what really has to happen for a US family to adopt a child from an illegal.  They don't just get "taken away". 

The other story that popped up 2 days later on the same FB coworkers page was about Mexicans with US Passports getting detained.  A google search showed that in the 90's many "midwives" would deliver babies in Mexico, then go to TX and register as US citizen birth.  Bush and Obama's admin started to crack down on this midwife babies (thousands), but the ACLU sued and they backed off.  So Trumps admin is starting it again.  I told her, IDK why only certain passports are being questioned even if they lived here for 30 years.  In the end it's the Mexicans mothers fault.  Trying to find a illegal way in (loophole).  Now the kid (adult) is paying the price. Midwives won't do this scheme for free or out of good will.  "Pay me X amount and I'll make sure your newborn is a US citizen".

Then she said, why not focus on current illegals and let all the other ones say ones who have been here 30 years or so stay.  Then I asked her, if someone who was supposed to be deported, but wasn't and ran you daughter over with their car, would you still think the same.  She said no.  I didn't even mention DACA yet.  But that's old news already.  DACA children don't stay children.

So i'm trying to teach her to question and dig deeper, especially when reading any fake news article (mainly CNN, Yaho, AOL, etc...)

eyeeatingfish

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2018, 08:13:53 PM »
To me it sounds like we would be losing out.  Because he's right, EU likes EU cars (Benz, BMW, etc..).  And more EU cars get shipped here than US cars (Ford, Chevy, etc...) that get shipped over there.

So we would be losing money if we called it even Steven.  I'm not an economist so I didn't research it fully.  But just the above makes sense in my head.

Same goes with Asian countries probably.  When I was in Taiwan, I didn't see 1 US car.  Lots of Toyota's.  Maybe a few EU cars.

So if my above statement is correct then the fake news would spin a title like "Trump hates free trade".

I understand the idea but it is protectionism and Trump is trying to get an unrealistic deal. Tarrifs aren't meant to control for customer preferences but to protect companies against other groups that can make the products cheaper.

 If we want to compete with European car companies in Europe we need to make the cars they want, not suggest that Europe give us a special deal that doesn't benefit them just so our cars can sell more.

It's almost a form of subsidizing industry. I don't know if Trump hates free trade but the rejection of this proposal doesn't seem like he likes it either.

And by the way Trump didn't really go into much detail, so what do you want to do the news to do, speculate? They are reporting what he said. If they left something significant that he said out then feel free to point it out. But I did check multiple articles, it's not like Trump always make sense when he's talking or even remains consistent for that matter. Agree with his decision or not, the bottom line is that he was rejecting true free trade on that particular part.
« Last Edit: August 31, 2018, 08:22:47 PM by eyeeatingfish »

eyeeatingfish

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2018, 08:15:37 PM »
Trump's statement is either intentionally left open-ended by the author to imply the he means to impose tarriffs of his own on European automobiles or Trump really hasn't stated what his intent is. While imposing tarriffs on European cars can certainly be included in the list of things he could have meant by his statement,  it is by no means exclusive. He is an experienced negotiator and may be using the opportunity to leverage other aspects of trade where other European protectionist measures are in place like parts manufacturing, jobs, etc. It may become apparent what Trump is shooting in the coming days. Let's see what shakes out.

That is the one angle I was thinking. He didn't state it but it is possible that he meant to reject that offer as part of a bigger picture and just didn't make it clear.

eyeeatingfish

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2018, 08:19:55 PM »
and his "research" never shows how wrong he is...

And what research have you done? I listen to the news I read articles and I started to discussion. You bring nothing to the party but trolling so far.

eyeeatingfish

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2018, 08:26:48 PM »
One of the issues to be examined is the presence of European car makers in the US.  Many have factories here so they can avoid the tariffs.  Some on them brought in workers from Poland, Slovenia, and Croatia rather than hire US workers.  If we drop the tariffs, European cars made in US plants could more cheaply be shipped to EU countries, further increasing the imbalance in European vs. American brands sold there.

Free trade isn't just about tariffs.  It's also about being able to compete with countries that don't pay workers or provide comparable benefits and retirement packages as US makers.  Labor costs and taxes keep US car makers from being able to compete with lower-priced foreign cars.


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsn-on-assignment-foreign-workers-used-to-build-auto-plants-in-us/

Another part of it is that a lot of American car companies are not producing as many cars with the European market in mind. We tend to have larger vehicles with higher gas consumption and Europeans don't seem as interested in those. I know the same is true for Japan, with their higher gas costs and they're much narrower roads American companies just don't have many models that are practical in Japan.

macsak

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #15 on: August 31, 2018, 08:47:29 PM »
I started to discussion.

you started to discussion?
whut?

macsak

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2018, 08:48:30 PM »
Another part of it is that a lot of American car companies are not producing as many cars with the European market in mind. We tend to have larger vehicles with higher gas consumption and Europeans don't seem as interested in those. I know the same is true for Japan, with their higher gas costs and they're much narrower roads American companies just don't have many models that are practical in Japan.


???

drck1000

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2018, 09:02:38 PM »

It's almost a form of subsidizing industry.

And what do you think other countries are doing in attempts to make their products more “exportable”?  That’s what the US is up against.

eyeeatingfish

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2018, 09:16:27 PM »

???

Speech to text doesn't always get the right version of the word.

eyeeatingfish

Re: Is Trump not for free trade?
« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2018, 09:24:44 PM »
And what do you think other countries are doing in attempts to make their products more “exportable”?  That’s what the US is up against.

They make products people want.

If Ford/GM/Dodge cannot make cars that Europeans want we should not try to force the EU to give us special preference over European cars.

If both sides agree to no tariffs then that is free trade. That is where demand plays its roll and competition benefits the consumer. If Ford and GM get protection in the form of tariffs that doesn't help the consumer, it doesn't push Ford or GM to produce a better car.

The EU isn't some poor third world nation that can make the same products for pennies on the dollar where our industries can't compete on cost.