I believe a ban is coming. Too many of these incidents happening in a short period of time lately and I would imagine Obama is getting pressure from Anti-gun supporters to push for an AWB. As if he needs any extra ammo for something he wants to do in the first place but now he can more easily justify why he is doing it. JMHO
I don't think so, honestly. The ban got through in 94 because too many gun owners didn't care about black rifles. Take my uncle, for example. Naturally, he wasn't a fan of the AWB, but he prided himself on being a hunter and a precision shooter. ARs were for hillbilly, half-assed militiamen in his mind, so he didn't really have a dog in the fight. The ban went down, then expired, and nowadays he has about $3,000 sunk into a precision benchrest AR. I think lots of other guys are the same way; the AR market has exploded, and the antis won't be able to divide the tacticool guys from the Fudds, because the line is so blurry. You've got ARs in every flavor under the sun, and a lot of them have become beloved varmint or deer rifles.
Also, the Republicans still control the House, so that's money in the bank for us, and although the Dems have got the Senate sewed up, they don't necessarily have anti-gun legislation in the bag. Montana's two Senators are both Democrats, for example, but they'd be tarred and feathered if they voted for an AWB. Obama can be a real pain in the ass if he directs the BATFEIEIO to start flexing its muscles on some of the "sporting purposes" bullshit, but I don't think he'll get anything very odious past Congress.